Politics
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
1¢
Yes
The market gives this a 1% chance.
Market price history. From 40¢ on Apr 9, 2026 to 1¢ on Aug 19, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Aug 17, 2026; highest 76¢ on Apr 15, 2026.
Tap the chart for an exact value. With the chart focused, use Left and Right arrow keys to move through values, Home and End to jump, and Escape to clear the readout.
About this market
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.