Politics
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
2¢
Yes
The market gives this a 2% chance.
Market price history. From 37¢ on May 21, 2026 to 3¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Aug 20, 2026; highest 87¢ on May 25, 2026.
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About this market
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.