Politics
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?
0¢
Yes
The market gives this a 0% chance.
Market price history. From 50¢ on Feb 5, 2026 to 50¢ on Aug 2, 2026. Lowest 0¢ on Aug 1, 2026; highest 66¢ on Apr 18, 2026.
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About this market
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.