Politics
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
9¢
Yes
The market gives this a 9% chance.
Market price history. From 80¢ on Jan 9, 2026 to 10¢ on Aug 19, 2026. Lowest 3¢ on Jan 10, 2026; highest 80¢ on Jan 9, 2026.
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About this market
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.