Other
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
4¢
Yes
The market gives this a 4% chance.
Market price history. From 23¢ on Jan 6, 2026 to 3¢ on Aug 17, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Jun 14, 2026; highest 30¢ on Mar 7, 2026.
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About this market
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.