Economy
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
6¢
Yes
The market gives this a 6% chance.
Market price history. From 58¢ on Jan 6, 2026 to 5¢ on Aug 18, 2026. Lowest 2¢ on Aug 8, 2026; highest 63¢ on Jan 8, 2026.
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About this market
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.