Economy
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?
20¢
Yes
The market gives this a 20% chance.
Market price history. From 50¢ on Jun 6, 2026 to 21¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 16¢ on Sep 1, 2026; highest 69¢ on Jul 27, 2026.
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About this market
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.