Politics
Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
33¢
Yes
The market gives this a 33% chance.
Market price history. From 31¢ on Dec 14, 2025 to 34¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 18¢ on Jul 17, 2026; highest 61¢ on Apr 4, 2026.
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About this market
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.