Politics
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?
0¢
Yes
The market gives this a 0% chance.
Market price history. From 43¢ on Nov 25, 2025 to 0¢ on Aug 1, 2026. Lowest 0¢ on Jul 28, 2026; highest 68¢ on Dec 5, 2025.
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About this market
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.