Frozen snapshot. Prices are as of Sep 2, 2026 and no longer update. Paper trading still works.
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Weather

Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be at least 3.0°C?

50¢
Yes
The market gives this a 50% chance.

Market price history. From 14¢ on Jun 25, 2026 to 50¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 12¢ on Jun 25, 2026; highest 85¢ on Aug 19, 2026.

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27K contractsCloses Aug 15, 2027
About this market

If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is at least 3.0°C, then the market resolves to Yes.

Paper trading only — no real money, no real trades.