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Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?

8¢
Yes
The market gives this a 8% chance.

Market price history. From 40¢ on Dec 22, 2024 to 8¢ on Aug 19, 2026. Lowest 6¢ on Aug 18, 2026; highest 54¢ on Feb 6, 2025.

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2.5M contractsCloses Nov 3, 2026
About this market

If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.