Economy
Will there be a recession in 2027?
29¢
Yes
The market gives this a 29% chance.
Market price history. From 35¢ on Apr 24, 2026 to 29¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 20¢ on Aug 12, 2026; highest 53¢ on Jun 4, 2026.
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About this market
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.