Politics
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
7¢
Yes
The market gives this a 7% chance.
Market price history. From 50¢ on Jan 9, 2026 to 6¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 5¢ on Jul 3, 2026; highest 54¢ on Jan 12, 2026.
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About this market
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.