Health
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
7¢
Yes
The market gives this a 7% chance.
Market price history. From 30¢ on Mar 25, 2026 to 10¢ on Aug 17, 2026. Lowest 7¢ on Aug 9, 2026; highest 38¢ on Apr 16, 2026.
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About this market
If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.