Frozen snapshot. Prices are as of Sep 2, 2026 and no longer update. Paper trading still works.
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Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

45¢
Yes
The market gives this a 45% chance.

Market price history. From 50¢ on Oct 16, 2025 to 42¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 6¢ on Jun 14, 2026; highest 72¢ on Feb 2, 2026.

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234.3K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2027
About this market

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 6000, then the market resolves to Yes.

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