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Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?

90¢
Yes
The market gives this a 90% chance.

Market price history. From 50¢ on Oct 16, 2025 to 81¢ on Aug 16, 2026. Lowest 15¢ on Nov 20, 2025; highest 89¢ on Feb 4, 2026.

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352.8K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2027
About this market

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.