Frozen snapshot. Prices are as of Sep 2, 2026 and no longer update. Paper trading still works.
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Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?

96¢
Yes
The market gives this a 96% chance.

Market price history. From 50¢ on Oct 16, 2025 to 93¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 16¢ on Nov 21, 2025; highest 93¢ on Sep 2, 2026.

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385.7K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2027
About this market

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Paper trading only — no real money, no real trades.