Economy
Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?
5¢
Yes
The market gives this a 5% chance.
Market price history. From 18¢ on Jan 7, 2026 to 5¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 5¢ on Jun 28, 2026; highest 40¢ on Jan 30, 2026.
Tap the chart for an exact value. With the chart focused, use Left and Right arrow keys to move through values, Home and End to jump, and Escape to clear the readout.
About this market
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.