Economy
Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?
5¢
Yes
The market gives this a 5% chance.
Market price history. From 18¢ on Jan 7, 2026 to 5¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 5¢ on Sep 1, 2026; highest 40¢ on Jan 30, 2026.
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About this market
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.