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Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

84¢
Yes
The market gives this a 84% chance.

Market price history. From 62¢ on Jan 7, 2026 to 86¢ on Aug 17, 2026. Lowest 47¢ on Apr 5, 2026; highest 88¢ on Aug 12, 2026.

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971K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2027
About this market

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.