Politics
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?
4¢
Yes
The market gives this a 4% chance.
Market price history. From 4¢ on Feb 5, 2026 to 4¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Aug 13, 2026; highest 6¢ on Mar 29, 2026.
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About this market
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 0 and 2 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.