Politics
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?
43¢
Yes
The market gives this a 43% chance.
Market price history. From 92¢ on Apr 14, 2026 to 43¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 36¢ on Aug 9, 2026; highest 98¢ on Apr 17, 2026.
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About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.