Politics
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
28¢
Yes
The market gives this a 28% chance.
Market price history. From 80¢ on Mar 17, 2026 to 28¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 27¢ on Aug 20, 2026; highest 96¢ on Mar 17, 2026.
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About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.