Politics
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2026?
1¢
Yes
The market gives this a 1% chance.
Market price history. From 63¢ on Apr 14, 2026 to 1¢ on Aug 19, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Aug 16, 2026; highest 89¢ on Apr 17, 2026.
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About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.