Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
72¢
Yes
The market gives this a 72% chance.
Market price history. From 20¢ on Nov 10, 2025 to 72¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 16¢ on Mar 9, 2026; highest 72¢ on Aug 20, 2026.
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About this market
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.