Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
67¢
Yes
The market gives this a 67% chance.
Market price history. From 20¢ on Nov 10, 2025 to 68¢ on Aug 17, 2026. Lowest 16¢ on Mar 9, 2026; highest 69¢ on Aug 11, 2026.
Tap the chart for an exact value. With the chart focused, use Left and Right arrow keys to move through values, Home and End to jump, and Escape to clear the readout.
About this market
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.