Politics
Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?
3¢
Yes
The market gives this a 3% chance.
Market price history. From 35¢ on Jun 9, 2026 to 3¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Sep 1, 2026; highest 75¢ on Jul 8, 2026.
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About this market
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.