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Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?

2¢
Yes
The market gives this a 2% chance.

Market price history. From 50¢ on Jul 15, 2026 to 2¢ on Aug 19, 2026. Lowest 0¢ on Jul 27, 2026; highest 50¢ on Jul 15, 2026.

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3M contractsCloses Oct 22, 2026
About this market

If the percentage of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK/KJFK) that are cancelled during October 21, 2026 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.