Weather
Will Arthur be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?
1¢
Yes
The market gives this a 1% chance.
Market price history. From 49¢ on May 15, 2026 to 1¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Jun 17, 2026; highest 49¢ on May 15, 2026.
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About this market
If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.