Economy
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
2¢
Yes
The market gives this a 2% chance.
Market price history. From 4¢ on Sep 30, 2025 to 3¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on May 4, 2026; highest 35¢ on May 1, 2026.
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About this market
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.