Economy
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
1¢
Yes
The market gives this a 1% chance.
Market price history. From 21¢ on Aug 7, 2025 to 2¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Aug 9, 2026; highest 50¢ on Mar 27, 2026.
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About this market
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.