Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
41¢
Yes
The market gives this a 41% chance.
Market price history. From 48¢ on Jun 22, 2025 to 32¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 4¢ on Sep 8, 2025; highest 73¢ on Jan 2, 2026.
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About this market
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.