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Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

6¢
Yes
The market gives this a 6% chance.
No price history yet.
422.2K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2027
About this market

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.