Finance
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026?
7¢
Yes
The market gives this a 7% chance.
Market price history. From 11¢ on Mar 26, 2026 to 7¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 3¢ on Aug 24, 2026; highest 89¢ on Apr 6, 2026.
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About this market
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.