Frozen snapshot. Prices are as of Sep 2, 2026 and no longer update. Paper trading still works.
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Politics

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

99¢
Yes
The market gives this a 99% chance.

Market price history. From 90¢ on Aug 4, 2026 to 99¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 3¢ on Aug 5, 2026; highest $1.00 on Sep 1, 2026.

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633.7K contractsCloses Oct 7, 2026
About this market

If California authorizes an alternative wage or provides qualifying relief from goat herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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