Crypto
Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
21¢
Yes
The market gives this a 21% chance.
Market price history. From 39¢ on Feb 6, 2026 to 20¢ on Aug 19, 2026. Lowest 15¢ on May 12, 2026; highest 43¢ on Feb 24, 2026.
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About this market
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $40000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.