Politics
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
75¢
Yes
The market gives this a 75% chance.
Market price history. From 74¢ on Dec 13, 2025 to 74¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 57¢ on Jan 27, 2026; highest 84¢ on Mar 17, 2026.
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About this market
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.