Health
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
38¢
Yes
The market gives this a 38% chance.
Market price history. From 19¢ on Apr 5, 2025 to 37¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 5¢ on May 3, 2025; highest 65¢ on Feb 20, 2026.
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About this market
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.