Health
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
40¢
Yes
The market gives this a 40% chance.
Market price history. From 19¢ on Apr 5, 2025 to 40¢ on Aug 17, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Jun 11, 2025; highest 70¢ on Aug 16, 2026.
Tap the chart for an exact value. With the chart focused, use Left and Right arrow keys to move through values, Home and End to jump, and Escape to clear the readout.
About this market
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.