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What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?

91¢
Yes
The market gives this a 91% chance.

Market price history. From 36¢ on Apr 5, 2025 to 93¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 12¢ on Jul 9, 2025; highest 95¢ on Aug 4, 2026.

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25.8K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2029
About this market

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.