Frozen snapshot. Prices are as of Sep 2, 2026 and no longer update. Paper trading still works.
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Health

What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?

96¢
Yes
The market gives this a 96% chance.

Market price history. From 36¢ on Apr 5, 2025 to 96¢ on Sep 2, 2026. Lowest 13¢ on Jul 18, 2025; highest 97¢ on Aug 27, 2026.

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26.9K contractsCloses Jan 1, 2029
About this market

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.

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