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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2029?

23¢
Yes
The market gives this a 23% chance.

Market price history. From 31¢ on May 12, 2026 to 23¢ on Aug 18, 2026. Lowest 21¢ on Aug 3, 2026; highest 52¢ on May 13, 2026.

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526.4K contractsCloses Jan 20, 2029
About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.