Tech & Science
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Oct 1, 2026?
2¢
Yes
The market gives this a 2% chance.
Market price history. From 5¢ on Jun 29, 2026 to 2¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 1¢ on Jul 30, 2026; highest 6¢ on Jun 30, 2026.
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About this market
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.