Tech & Science
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?
4¢
Yes
The market gives this a 4% chance.
Market price history. From 6¢ on Jun 29, 2026 to 4¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 2¢ on Jul 23, 2026; highest 8¢ on Jun 30, 2026.
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About this market
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.