Tech & Science
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026?
4¢
Yes
The market gives this a 4% chance.
Market price history. From 7¢ on Jun 29, 2026 to 5¢ on Aug 20, 2026. Lowest 3¢ on Jul 8, 2026; highest 11¢ on Jun 30, 2026.
Tap the chart for an exact value. With the chart focused, use Left and Right arrow keys to move through values, Home and End to jump, and Escape to clear the readout.
About this market
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.